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Law Enforcement and Predictive Policing 

Mathematical and computational methods have become increasingly important for law enforcement. Geographic profiling, for example, can help to determine the movement pattern of a serial offender and to predict where they might have "centres of life", i.e. where they work or live. 

Based on spatial statistics it is possible to determine hotspots of crime and monitor them over time. Mathematical models can also help to predict where future crimes might happen, and therefore allow to use resources more efficiently. 

This is the model output from a model of how hotspots develop, based on "repeat victimisation theory".

The following video shows hotspots of crime in the region around Bristol; the video is based on real data. 

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